Qualification scenarios for all 10 teams to secure semifinal spot in the ODI World Cup 2023

As the ICC ODI World Cup 2023 enters its decisive phase, the competition has intensified with surprising upsets where lower-ranked teams have triumphed over higher-ranked opponents. Every team is now striving to build momentum and secure their spot in the knockout stage. With the business end of the tournament at hand, teams are putting forth their best efforts to qualify for the crucial knockout matches, creating a thrilling and fiercely contested atmosphere in the world of ODI cricket.

Here’s qualification scenarios for each of the ten participating teams as they battle it out for a coveted spot in the semi-finals.These scenarios are arranged based on their current rankings and the probability of their qualification, from the highest possibility to the lowest

Qualification scenarios and chances (%) of each 10 teams

1. India (99%)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 6
Matches Lost: 0
Net Run Rate: +1.405

The Indian cricket team has emerged as the standout performer in this tournament, displaying an impeccable record of six wins in six games. Their commanding net run rate and the significant gap between them and other teams on the points table place them in a prime position to secure a spot in the semi-finals. With just a few matches remaining, a strong finish would virtually guarantee their progression to the next stage.

Remaing fixtures of India:

vs Sri Lanka (Nov 2)
vs South Africa (Nov 5)
vs Netherlands (Nov 12)

2. South Africa (98%)

Team South Africa (Image Source: Twitter)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 5
Matches Lost: 1
Net Run Rate: +2.032

South Africa have been a formidable contender, amassing five wins and enduring only one defeat in the competition. Their healthy net run rate bolsters their chances. A victory in their upcoming game should provide the assurance they need to advance to the semi-finals.

Remaining fixtures of South Africa:

vs New Zealand (Nov 1)
vs India (Nov 5)
vs Afghanistan (Nov 10)

3. New Zealand (85%)

New Zealand cricket team (Image Source: Twitter)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 4
Matches Lost: 2
Net Run Rate: +1.232

New Zealand holds a respectable position with four victories from six games. Their positive net run rate offers a competitive edge. Securing a couple more wins in their remaining matches would solidify their claim to a semi-final berth.

Remaining fixtures of New Zealand:

vs South Africa (Nov 1)
vs Pakistan (Nov 4)
vs Sri Lanka (Nov 9)

4. Australia (84%)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 4
Matches Lost: 2
Net Run Rate: +0.970

Australia have also clinched four victories in six matches. Their advantageous net run rate places them in a favorable position. A series of triumphs in their remaining games would see them through to the semi-finals.

Australia cricket team (Image Source: Twitter)

Remaining fixtures of Australia:

vs England (Nov 4)
vs Afghanistan (Nov 7)
vs Bangladesh (Nov 11)

5. Afghanistan (20%)

Team Afghanistan (Image Source: Twitter)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 3
Matches Lost: 3
Net Run Rate: -0.718

Afghanistan, despite showing promise with three wins, needs to win their remaining games and watch the results of other teams like Australia and Pakistan. For Afghanistan, the scenario is more about ensuring they keep winning and hoping that other teams stumble, potentially allowing them to secure a semi-final spot based on their net run rate or other tie-breaker criteria.

Remaining fixtures of Afghanistan:

vs Netherlands (Nov 3)
vs Australia (Nov 7)
vs South Africa (Nov 10)

Also WATCH: Irfan Pathan, Harbhajan Singh celebrate Afghanistan’s win over Sri Lanka by dancing to Afghan beats – CWC 2023

6. Sri Lanka (5%)

Sri Lanka cricket team (Image Source: Twitter)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 2
Matches Lost: 4
Net Run Rate: -0.275

Sri Lanka’s journey in the tournament have been mixed, with two wins and four losses. To secure a semi-final spot, they must win their remaining matches against India, Bangladesh, and New Zealand. Their qualification also relies on other teams’ performances. Sri Lanka needs competitors like England, Afghanistan, and Pakistan to face losses in their upcoming games. This complex pathway to the semi-finals hinges on several factors, including the net run rate and tie-breaker criteria.

Remaining fixtures of Sri Lanka:

vs India (Nov 2)
vs Bangladesh (Nov 6)
vs New Zealand (Nov 9)

7. Pakistan (4%)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 2
Matches Lost: 4
Net Run Rate: -0.387

Pakistan’s qualification scenario hinges on several factors. They have won two out of six matches and require victories in their remaining games (against Bangladesh and New Zealand) to keep their hopes alive. However, for Pakistan to secure a semi-final spot, they also need other teams such as Afghanistan, Australia, and New Zealand to face losses. Pakistan must hope that these competitors falter in their remaining matches, creating an opportunity for Pakistan to move ahead based on the net run rate or other tie-breaker criteria.

Remaining fixtures of Pakistan:

vs Bangladesh (Oct 31)
vs New Zealand (Nov 4)
vs England (Nov 11)

8. Netherlands (3%)

Netherlands cricket team (Image Source: Twitter)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 2
Matches Lost: 4
Net Run Rate: -1.277

Although Netherlands have suffered four losses, Netherlands cannot be entirely discounted. Their prospects hinge on winning all their remaining games, accompanied by favorable outcomes in other matches.

Remaining fixtures of Netherlands:

vs Afghanistan (Nov 3)
vs England (Nov 8)
vs India (Nov 12)

9. Bangladesh (1%)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 1
Matches Lost: 5
Net Run Rate: -1.338

Bangladesh have endured a challenging campaign, securing only one win in the tournament. To keep their semi-final hopes alive, they must win their remaining matches against Pakistan, New Zealand, and Australia. Nevertheless, their qualification is not solely in their hands, and they must rely on other teams’ performances. Bangladesh needs key competitors like Pakistan, England, and Netherlands to face losses in their upcoming games, creating an opportunity for them to advance. The net run rate and tie-breaker criteria may play a vital role in their qualification.

Remaining fixtures of Bangladesh:

vs Pakistan (Oct 31)
vs Sri Lanka (Nov 6)
vs Australia (Nov 11)

Also READ: Australian spinner Nathan Lyon predicts the two finalists of ICC Men’s ODI World Cup 2023

10. England (1%)

England cricket team (Image Source: Twitter)

Matches Played: 6
Matches Won: 1
Matches Lost: 5
Net Run Rate: -1.652

England have had a tumultuous run in the tournament, facing five losses in six games. To have any hope of reaching the semi-finals, they not only need to win their remaining matches (against Australia, Netherlands, and Pakistan) but also depend on other teams’ losses. England must closely watch the results of teams like Pakistan, Australia, and Afghanistan. If these teams stumble and lose some of their matches, it could open up a chance for England to sneak into the semi-finals. Essentially, England’s qualification scenario relies heavily on other teams faltering.