Match 27 of the 2023 ICC Cricket World Cup is a Trans-Tasman scuffle between Australia and New Zealand. Australia are all of a sudden one of the form teams in the World Cup, and another win against their local rivals will see them win their fourth match in succession. New Zealand have just suffered their first defeat of the competition, losing to India at this venue last Sunday. 

Thanks to the struggles of Pakistan and the implosion of England, both the Aussies and the Black Caps are looking good for a place in the top four. As a result, there is less pressure on this match than there might have been. But neither nation will want to leave it to the failure of others to secure their semi-final places. A couple of defeats for either team in their next two matches could put them under pressure, so this is still an important fixture. 

Australia vs New Zealand betting preview

📝 Australia vs New Zealand betting odds

New Zealand is in a stronger position than Australia in the group table, but this hasn’t stopped cricket betting sites from making Australia the favourites to win the match. 

The bookmakers also feel that Australia has a better chance of winning the competition outright. In the latest betting to win the 2023 World Cup, Australia is 5.0, and New Zealand is 6.50. Both sit way behind favourites India, who are 2.00. Now, let’s take a closer look at the betting to win the match.

10CRIC

LiliBet 

Bettilt

Australia vs New Zealand predictions

Despite both nations looking good for the semi-finals, this is still a key fixture. Australia are building momentum, and another win here will see them get even more confident and become more of a threat to win the competition. 

Pat Cummins and his Australian team can’t get too carried away with their winning streak of three victories. Okay, they pulverised the Netherlands on Wednesday, setting a new Cricket World Cup record for the highest winning margin. But their three wins were over the Dutch, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. When they played the nations they will need to beat to win a World Cup – as in India and South Africa, the Aussies came up hopelessly short. 

Australia is a team that thrives on confidence, and after that 309-run win over the Netherlands, confidence will be sky-high. David Warner is on fire, and now Glenn Maxwell is firing on all cylinders. They will fancy their chances against New Zealand. And when the Black Caps’ World Cup record is examined more closely, their wins have come against Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Netherlands, and tournament whipping boys England. 

The Black Caps know they need to be able to beat two of India, Australia and South Africa if they are to finally win a white ball cricket world title. They have just lost to India. So if they also lose to Australia, this could hurt their confidence as they head into the second half of the competition. 

This will be the fifth match played at the HPCA Stadium in this World Cup. In the previous four, the side batting first has won two and lost two.

The scores of the teams batting first have been inconsistent. Afghanistan were bowled out for 156 against Bangladesh in match three. England then plundered 364 runs against Bangladesh in match seven, and the Netherlands scored 245/8 against South Africa, in wet conditions, in match 15. Finally, New Zealand scored 273 against India last weekend (match 21) in a losing cause. 

The team that has won the toss in all four matches at this venue has elected to field first.  

📊 Australia vs New Zealand key stats

  • In ODIs, Australia and New Zealand have played each other on 141 occasions. The Aussies are the dominant side with 95 wins to New Zealand’s 39 wins. There have been seven no results.
  • On neutral grounds, Australia has beaten New Zealand on an astonishing 18 occasions. New Zealand has won once against the Aussies at neutral venues.
  • In World Cup matches, it’s Australia again who are dominant. The Aussies have won eight times, and New Zealand have won three. 
  • Australia’s top run scorer at the 2023 World Cup is David Warner with 332 runs. Warner has two centuries. The top Australian bowler is Adam Zampa with 13 wickets. At the time of writing, Zampa is the leading wicket-taker in the competition.
  • New Zealand’s top-performing batter is Rachin Ravindra with 290 runs. This includes two fifties and one century. The top-performing bowler for the Black Caps is Mitchell Santner with 12 wickets. Only Zampa has more.
2023 Cricket World Cup betting tips

Australia vs New Zealand betting tips 

Australia are 1.61 to win the match and we feel that is a fair price. We all know New Zealand is a good team that does the cricket basics well. But they seem to lack that bit of firepower to compete against the Aussies regularly. And as the head-to-heads show, Australia has dominated the Black Caps over the years. 

A bet on Australia to win looks like a safe one. Now for our additional betting tips.

1. Josh Hazlewood to be the top bowler in the match – 5.80 at Rajabets  

Except for the match between Afghanistan and Bangladesh, seam bowlers have done well on this wicket. Reece Topley took 4/43 against Bangladesh, and Mohammed Shami took 5/54 against New Zealand. The Aussies will have noted right-arm seamer Shami’s performance and may well feel this wicket could suit the skills of their right-arm seamer, Josh Hazlewood. 


2. Rachin Ravindra to be player of the match – 14.00 at LiliBet  

If New Zealand are to get anything out of this match, someone will have to put in an outstanding match-winning performance and do something out of the ordinary. 

We feel the man with the best chance of doing that for New Zealand is Rachin Ravindra. Batting at number three, Ravindra has scored two fifties and one century in the competition. He has also hit eight sixes in the 290 runs he has scored to date. 

As an allrounder, Ravindra will also have a chance to impress with the ball. Although he went wicketless against India on this ground, he did have the second-best economy rate of his team, going at 5.11 across his nine overs.


3. David Warner to score 50 or more – 2.46 at Bettilt 

Aussie opener David Warner is having an exceptional competition. He already has two centuries with a highest score of 163 and a strike rate of just under 110. 

Warner is a typical Australian. When he’s on top, he’s at his most dangerous. And at the moment, Warner is well and truly on top. He averages 42.60 against New Zealand in ODIs, which is just south of his career average of 45.77. But given his form across the last two matches, David Warner looks a great bet to score 50 again.


How to watch Australia vs New Zealand

  • Location: Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamshala, India
  • Date and time: Saturday, 28th October 2023, 10.30 IST
  • How to watch: Star Sports  or live stream via Disney+, ESPN+, or Switch TV

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About the Author:
Dean is a freelance sports betting writer and website owner who specialises in football and cricket. With many years of experience writing for his own publications and others, Dean can turn his hand to a wide variety of sports, using his extensive knowledge and sense of humour to provide expert content with a totally different perspective. You can follow Dean on LinkedIn (@deanetheridge) and Twitter (@etheridge_dean).