India vs New Zealand Betting Preview, Odds, & Predictions

Only two sides are so far unbeaten at this World Cup and it’s these very two: India and New Zealand.

Both have won all their four matches so far and are looking like the two sides to beat at this tournament as other sides have already shown signs of weaknesses in one area or another.

And whereas a defeat for either team shouldn’t affect their chances of making the semis, both teams would love to top the group and play the fourth-placed side, theoretically an easier opponent.

A win here would certainly do wonders for both their chances of doing just that and their confidence in general.

So, plenty to play for and in a few weeks’ time this match may just be the final itself; so it will be useful to pick up some clues as to how it might unfold if that is the case.

Table of Contents

📝 India vs New Zealand odds

There are stats and betting tips coming up right now but first up, let’s consider the latest odds from some of the top cricket betting sites.

10CRIC

India to win at 1.42 with 10CRIC -> Bet now!
New Zealand to win at 2.84 with 10CRIC -> Bet now!

Cricbaba

India to win at 1.43 with Cricbaba -> Bet now!
New Zealand to win at 2.80 with Cricbaba -> Bet now!

Bettilt

India to win at 1.43 with Bettilt -> Bet now!
New Zealand to win at 2.80 with Bettilt -> Bet now!

India vs New Zealand predictions

Dharamsala may be one of the most beautiful grounds in the world with the Himalayas (visible to anyone at the stadium) providing a breathtaking backdrop, but the wicket itself is a tricky one to call: you never quite know what you’re going to get here.

In the few matches played here in the IPL, first-innings scores tended to be high but that hasn’t always been the case when it comes to ODIs, and that includes the matches played here so far at this World Cup.

Afghanistan managed just 156 against a mediocre Bangladesh bowling line-up, which the Tigers chased with ease.

But it was a very different story when England played here, also against Bangladesh. Jos Buttler’s men posted a big 364/9 which was never in danger of being chased, with England ultimately winning by 137 runs.

So, it’s not so easy to predict what the par score is. That may force the hand of the captain winning the toss to want to chase here, particularly if they feel there might be dew in the second innings.

Team updates

India continue to prefer playing Shardul Thakur to Ravi Ashwin and Thakur continues to be pretty expensive.

Last time out against Bangladesh he conceded 59 runs off nine overs and given India’s strength with the bat, he carries on not being needed to make a contribution in that regard. Sooner or later India may see that Ashwin gives them more control, although bringing in Mohammed Shami is also an option, albeit one that would weaken their batting.

New Zealand will still be without Kane Williamson, who fractured his thumb against Bangladesh and may only return for the semi-finals, assuming they make it that far.

But they’ve been just fine without him anyway given the emergence of Rachin Ravindra. Veteran Tim Southee may have to wait for his chance with the other fast bowlers all performing well in their four games to date.

India likely XI:

Rohit, Gill, Kohli, Rahul, Iyer, Hardik, Jadeja, Thakur/Ashwin, Kuldeep, Bumrah, Siraj

New Zealand likely XI:

Conway, Young, Ravindra, Mitchell, Latham, Phillips, Chapman, Santner, Henry, Ferguson, Boult.

📊 India vs New Zealand key stats

So that’s the team news done. Let’s move onto some useful stats.

These two have played each other 116 times with India winning 58 of them and the Black Caps winning 50 times. There was also a tie between them, and another seven matches ended as no-result over the years.
Looking just at ODIs played in India between these two, the men in blue have been even more dominant, winning 29 out of 38, with NZ victorious eight times and a no-result in there as well.
Between July 2019 (the semi-final of the World Cup) and November 2022, New Zealand won five in a row, the last four of those on home soil.
However, in a three-match Series earlier this year, India won it 3-0.
In January this year, India’s Shubman Gill hit a superb 208 off 149 balls as India posted and defended 349 at Hyderabad. But it was tight in the end, with the tourists managing 337 and only losing by 12 runs.
The following match, the most recent between the two, saw Gill hit 112.
Despite that, it’s Virat Kohli who is the highest scorer against New Zealand among the Indian batsmen (who will feature here) with 514 runs against, them including one century and four fifties.
New Zealand famously beat India in the semis of the last ODI World Cup in England in 2019: MS Dhoni’s last match in ODIs.
After wins against Australia, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Bangladesh, India’s odds of winning the World Cup have shortened to 2.15 with most online sportsbooks. It may look a short price with such a long way to go but they’ve been ruthless up to now and will take some stopping.

India vs New Zealand betting tips

India are around the 1.42 mark to win this match with New Zealand roughly 2.85, depending on the bookie in question.

If you wanted to pick one match to take on India, this might be it. The Black Caps have been extremely solid in all departments, have all bases covered and are playing well as a unit, as they always do. You’ll see worse bets than that on New Zealand win this week.

By the way, here at Cricket Times, you can check out all the best Cricket World Cup betting offers currently available, a good way of getting your hands on a free bet, a risk-free bet or another form of bonus without risking any of your money.

But let’s get back to the tips for this match. We’ve said New Zealand have a good chance here and they do but instead, we’ll pick three bets from side markets as our actual tips.

Ravindra Jadeja to be India’s top bowler at 5.8 with Rajabets

“The key to betting is of course, getting betting value on a consistent basis. In other words, backing prices that are bigger than they should be. And the 6.6 on Ravindra Jadeja to be India top bowler is a case in point. “

The above is what we wrote when explaining the rationale behind backing Jadeja for India’s top bowler ahead of the match against Bangladesh.

In the end, he took two wickets and tied with both Jasprit Bumrah and Mohammad Siraj. However, he conceded 38 runs, Siraj 60 and Bumrah 41, so as per Rajabet’s rules, Jadeja was the winner on the day because he conceded the fewest runs of the three, also providing our readers with an excellent payout at 6.6.

Sadly, his odds aren’t quite as big this time round. But 5.8 is still very decent, his win last time was proof that he has every chance here once more and it’s worth persisting with the brilliant all-rounder to do the business again.

➡️ Bet on Ravindra Jadeja to be India’s top bowler at 5.8 with Rajabets

Will Young to be New Zealand’s top batsman at 6.34 with 10CRIC

Following a similar rationale, Will Young provides a value bet at odds of 6.0 for top New Zealand batsman.

In three matches he’s played so far at his World Cup, he scored fifties in two of them, a good sign of just how consistent, if unflashy, he is.

This may just be one of those grounds where it’s easiest to score runs at the top of the order against the new ball before the spinners come on, so the fact he’ll open the batting is likely to be a good thing.

Both fellow opener Devon Conway (3.2) and number three Ravindra (5.5) are shorter prices than him so the 6.0 looks pretty generous indeed.

➡️ Bet on Will Young to be New Zealand’s top batsman at 6.34 with 10CRIC

Back Mitchell Santner to be New Zealand’s top bowler with Cricbaba

In pricing up Mitchell Santner at odds of 4.9 for NZ’s top bowler, Cricbaba seem to have forgotten that he’s not just the top bowler in New Zealand’s team with 11 wickets, he’s actually the leading wicket-taker in the whole tournament.

Team-mates Matt Henry and Lockie Ferguson have nine and six respectively but Santner ticks plenty of boxes: he has a good record against India, always bowls his quota of 10 overs and may find this wicket to his liking.

Just as with the other two, this provides a really good value bet.

➡️ Back Mitchell Santner to be New Zealand’s top bowler with Cricbaba

📺 How to watch India vs New Zealand

Location: Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala, India.
Date and time: Sunday 22 October 2023, 14:00 IST.
How to watch: Star Sports or via live stream available at Disney+, ESPN+, and Switch TV.